Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.199728 0.227162 0.256587 0.290447 0.328286 0.369221 0.416806
2026-01-04 0.166209 0.203493 0.246124 0.298301 0.360255 0.431275 0.518651
2026-01-11 0.139797 0.182511 0.234129 0.300725 0.383954 0.484088 0.613183
2026-01-18 0.121749 0.168309 0.227398 0.307234 0.411535 0.542330 0.717795
2026-01-25 0.108205 0.157543 0.222981 0.315113 0.440290 0.603066 0.829113
2026-02-01 0.094296 0.144178 0.213132 0.314008 0.456113 0.647146 0.920900
2026-02-08 0.082943 0.132764 0.204341 0.312828 0.470807 0.689698 1.012412
2026-02-15 0.073422 0.122731 0.196185 0.311265 0.484075 0.730280 1.102829
2026-02-22 0.067528 0.117432 0.194265 0.318283 0.509717 0.789307 1.222241
2026-03-01 0.060780 0.109914 0.188052 0.317915 0.523811 0.831820 1.319451
2026-03-08 0.055031 0.103325 0.182543 0.317901 0.538004 0.874762 1.419069
2026-03-15 0.050128 0.097582 0.177767 0.318442 0.552734 0.918886 1.522322
2026-03-22 0.046432 0.093681 0.175892 0.323905 0.576245 0.978809 1.654841
2026-03-29 0.043558 0.090943 0.175723 0.332153 0.604777 1.048183 1.805995
2026-04-05 0.040095 0.086682 0.172424 0.334592 0.623525 1.102608 1.935823
2026-04-12 0.037627 0.084057 0.171802 0.341628 0.650461 1.171741 2.093031
2026-04-19 0.035585 0.082039 0.172083 0.350225 0.680529 1.247504 2.264820
2026-04-26 0.032551 0.077606 0.167319 0.348969 0.692719 1.293254 2.387924
2026-05-03 0.029822 0.073489 0.162760 0.347649 0.704525 1.338693 2.512381
2026-05-10 0.027326 0.069574 0.158217 0.345918 0.715290 1.382607 2.635974
2026-05-17 0.025969 0.068070 0.158457 0.353629 0.744271 1.460299 2.822542
2026-05-24 0.023991 0.064880 0.154853 0.353220 0.757472 1.509873 2.960842
2026-05-31 0.022225 0.061979 0.151587 0.353203 0.771319 1.561131 3.104285